Matchups · 2026
Week 5
| Date | Matchup | Wal-Bel | Home win | Vegas | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-08 | TB @ DAL | +1.1 | 54% | +3.5 | -2.4 |
| 2026-10-11 | PHI @ JAX | -2.1 | 43% | -1.5 | -0.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | CIN @ MIA | +1.9 | 56% | -6.0 | +7.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | LV @ NE | +6.9 | 71% | +8.5 | -1.6 |
| 2026-10-11 | MIN @ NO | +0.8 | 53% | -1.5 | +2.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | CLE @ NYJ | -0.2 | 49% | +1.5 | -1.7 |
| 2026-10-11 | IND @ PIT | +3.3 | 61% | +2.5 | +0.8 |
| 2026-10-11 | HOU @ TEN | -0.5 | 48% | -3.5 | +3.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | NYG @ WAS | +3.0 | 60% | +1.5 | +1.5 |
| 2026-10-11 | DEN @ LAC | +2.3 | 58% | +2.5 | -0.2 |
| 2026-10-11 | DET @ ARI | -0.6 | 48% | -8.5 | +7.9 |
| 2026-10-11 | CHI @ GB | +6.3 | 70% | +3.0 | +3.3 |
| 2026-10-11 | SF @ SEA | +1.5 | 55% | +3.5 | -2.0 |
| 2026-10-11 | BAL @ ATL | -2.5 | 42% | -4.5 | +2.0 |
| 2026-10-12 | BUF @ LA | +0.5 | 52% | +3.0 | -2.5 |
On the edge column
Edge is Wal-Bel minus the market. A large number means the model disagrees with the line — it does not mean the model is right. Tested against 2025, disagreements of this kind won 48.7% of the time.