Matchups · 2026
Week 4
| Date | Matchup | Wal-Bel | Home win | Vegas | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-01 | PIT @ CLE | -0.5 | 48% | -2.5 | +2.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | IND @ WAS | +0.9 | 53% | +1.5 | -0.6 |
| 2026-10-04 | TEN @ BAL | +9.2 | 77% | +8.5 | +0.7 |
| 2026-10-04 | NE @ BUF | +5.6 | 68% | +3.0 | +2.6 |
| 2026-10-04 | NYJ @ CHI | +6.1 | 69% | +8.5 | -2.4 |
| 2026-10-04 | JAX @ CIN | +2.8 | 59% | +2.5 | +0.3 |
| 2026-10-04 | DAL @ HOU | +0.8 | 52% | +2.5 | -1.7 |
| 2026-10-04 | ARI @ NYG | +0.4 | 51% | +7.0 | -6.6 |
| 2026-10-04 | LA @ PHI | +2.2 | 57% | -1.5 | +3.7 |
| 2026-10-04 | GB @ TB | +0.4 | 51% | -1.5 | +1.9 |
| 2026-10-04 | MIA @ MIN | +4.8 | 65% | +7.5 | -2.7 |
| 2026-10-04 | KC @ LV | -4.5 | 36% | -5.5 | +1.0 |
| 2026-10-04 | LAC @ SEA | +3.3 | 61% | +3.0 | +0.3 |
| 2026-10-04 | DEN @ SF | +4.1 | 63% | +2.5 | +1.6 |
| 2026-10-04 | DET @ CAR | -3.1 | 40% | -3.0 | -0.1 |
| 2026-10-05 | ATL @ NO | +3.6 | 61% | +2.5 | +1.1 |
On the edge column
Edge is Wal-Bel minus the market. A large number means the model disagrees with the line — it does not mean the model is right. Tested against 2025, disagreements of this kind won 48.7% of the time.