Matchups · 2026
Week 1
| Date | Matchup | Wal-Bel | Home win | Vegas | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | NE @ SEA | +3.2 | 60% | +3.5 | -0.3 |
| 2026-09-10 | SF @ LA | +2.2 | 57% | +3.5 | -1.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | CHI @ CAR | -0.7 | 48% | -3.0 | +2.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | TB @ CIN | -0.2 | 49% | +3.5 | -3.7 |
| 2026-09-13 | NO @ DET | +3.6 | 62% | +7.0 | -3.4 |
| 2026-09-13 | BUF @ HOU | -3.2 | 39% | +1.5 | -4.7 |
| 2026-09-13 | BAL @ IND | -2.0 | 43% | -3.0 | +1.0 |
| 2026-09-13 | CLE @ JAX | +3.0 | 60% | +8.5 | -5.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | ATL @ PIT | +3.8 | 62% | +3.5 | +0.3 |
| 2026-09-13 | NYJ @ TEN | +3.3 | 61% | +1.5 | +1.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | ARI @ LAC | +4.2 | 64% | +10.0 | -5.8 |
| 2026-09-13 | MIA @ LV | -0.4 | 49% | +3.5 | -3.9 |
| 2026-09-13 | GB @ MIN | +0.3 | 51% | +1.5 | -1.2 |
| 2026-09-13 | WAS @ PHI | +7.0 | 72% | +4.5 | +2.5 |
| 2026-09-13 | DAL @ NYG | -1.2 | 46% | -3.0 | +1.8 |
| 2026-09-14 | DEN @ KC | +4.4 | 64% | +3.0 | +1.4 |
On the edge column
Edge is Wal-Bel minus the market. A large number means the model disagrees with the line — it does not mean the model is right. Tested against 2025, disagreements of this kind won 48.7% of the time.